Japan Hints at Using $1 Trillion in U.S. Treasuries as Trade Negotiation Leverage
A Japanese official raised eyebrows during ongoing trade discussions with the Trump administration by implying that the country's massive U.S. Treasury holdings could be used as a bargaining chip—only to later walk back the comment as speculative.
Japan, like many other nations engaged in commerce with the U.S., has been negotiating with the Trump administration following President Donald Trump’s decision to introduce new tariffs on imports—tariffs that some critics argue pose significant problems for Japan.
On Friday, Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato remarked that Japan’s substantial ownership of U.S. Treasury securities—currently the largest of any foreign country—could potentially play a role in the discussions. The Financial Times characterized the move as “a rare baring of teeth by America’s closest ally in Asia.”
The reciprocal tariffs imposed by the United States are a national disaster for Japan.美国的对等关税对日本来说是国难。 pic.twitter.com/BIyJaXzfga
— 雁过留声 (@szygls) April 15, 2025
When questioned on whether Japan intended to maintain its long-standing stance of holding onto U.S. Treasury bonds, Kato responded with a subtle warning. The U.S. relies on these bonds to finance government operations through borrowing.
“It does exist as a card,” Kato said.
He continued, “Whether or not we use that card is a different decision.”
Japan urges U.S. to scrap 25% auto tariffs as Ishiba rejects partial trade deal, insists on full rollback
— News18 (@CNNnews18) May 4, 2025
Source: Reuters | #Japan #USA #Ishiba #DonaldTrump #TradeDeal #Tariffs pic.twitter.com/UOZVOuQkAW
Together, Japan’s public and private investors hold approximately $1.13 trillion in U.S. Treasuries.
Some observers say the effectiveness of such a threat doesn’t rely on action.
“This is a street fight: Promising not to use one of your strongest, most brutal weapons would be both naive and reckless,” said Nicholas Smith, chief Japan strategist at CLSA.
“You don’t need to use the weapon, just brandish it,” he added.
Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba said today that if US tariffs on steel, aluminum, and automobiles are applied to Japan, it will become "difficult" for Japanese companies to invest in the US.
— Jeffrey J. Hall 🇯🇵🇺🇸 (@mrjeffu) March 6, 2025
Last month Ishiba told Trump to expect $1 trillion in new Japanese investments... pic.twitter.com/TyiQn1hE5c
In later comments, Kato seemed to confirm that the suggestion may have been more strategic than literal.
“My comments were made in response to a question whether Japan could, as a bargaining tool in trade negotiations, explicitly reassure Washington it wouldn’t sell its Treasury holdings easily,” Kato said, according to Reuters.
Tokyo's envoy for U.S. tariff talks said Saturday after a second round of negotiations that Japan was insisting Washington review all the levies as a precondition to a trade deal. https://t.co/rE2c93k3rj
— The Japan Times (@japantimes) May 3, 2025
The ongoing discussions between the two countries focus heavily on proposed tariffs targeting Japanese-made automobiles, Bloomberg reports. Japan’s lead trade negotiator, Ryosei Akazawa, has expressed optimism that a deal might be finalized by June.